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Finnish real estate market: housing prices are expected to decline

14.09.2024

Finnish house price forecast: further decline due to lower interest rates

The real estate market is one of the most sensitive indicators of a country's economic well-being. Changes in this area often reflect global trends and serve as a harbinger of change to come. Finland, a country with a high standard of living and a stable economy, is no exception. According to recent analysts' forecasts, the Finnish real estate market is expected to undergo significant changes in the near future.

The key influencing factors are.

  • Decrease in mortgage interest rates.
    One of the main factors influencing the real estate market is the availability of mortgage loans. In Finland, there has been a downward trend in interest rates on home loans, making mortgages more accessible to a wide range of people. This factor has a double impact on the market. On the one hand, lower interest rates allow more people to buy their own homes or improve their living conditions. This, in turn, increases demand in the real estate market. On the other hand, lower rates can also incentivize existing homeowners to sell their properties and purchase new ones, thereby increasing supply.
  • Stable wage growth.
    Another important factor affecting the Finnish real estate market is stable wage growth. When incomes grow steadily, people feel more financially secure and tend to consider buying real estate. Wage growth not only increases the purchasing power of the population, but also strengthens consumer confidence in the economy. This creates an additional incentive to increase demand for housing as people perceive buying real estate as a profitable investment.
  • An improvement in the overall economic situation.
    The improvement in the overall economic situation in Finland also contributes to positive changes in the real estate market. When a country's economy is growing, it leads to increased consumer and business confidence, which in turn can encourage real estate investment. Stable economic growth, low unemployment and favorable business conditions create a favorable environment for the real estate market.
  • Housing Price Decline Forecast.
    Despite favorable economic factors such as lower mortgage interest rates, stable wage growth and a general improvement in the economic situation in Finland, analysts predict a further decline in house prices in the country. This may seem paradoxical given the expected increase in demand, but this situation can be explained by several factors.
  • Correction of overvalued prices.
    Firstly, current real estate prices in Finland may be overvalued, and the decline in prices may be a natural market correction. In recent years, there has been a significant increase in house prices, which has led to some detachment from the real purchasing power of the population.
  • The increased supply in the market.
    Secondly, the increased availability of mortgages may lead to an increase in supply in the market, as more people will be willing to sell their property and purchase a new, larger or more modern property. This increase in supply could put pressure on prices, helping to drive them down.
  • New opportunities for buyers.
    Lower house prices, combined with more affordable mortgages and rising wages, could create ideal conditions for increased demand in the real estate market. Potential buyers who previously could not afford to purchase a home may now have the opportunity to do so.
  • Revitalization of the real estate market.
    This situation may lead to a revitalization of the real estate market in Finland. An increase in the number of transactions may stimulate the construction sector, creating new jobs and contributing to further economic growth.
  • Prospects for investors.
    For investors interested in acquiring real estate in Finland, this period may present good opportunities. Lower prices combined with growth potential in the long term make the Finnish real estate market an attractive investment.
  • Regional differences.
    It is important to note, however, that the real estate market situation can vary significantly from region to region in Finland. Large cities such as Helsinki and Tampere may show different trends than less densely populated areas.
  • Caution and monitoring of the situation.
    Analysts' forecasts are based on current economic trends and may change depending on various factors, including global economic events and changes in national policies. Therefore, potential market participants are advised to monitor the situation closely and consult experts before making important real estate-related decisions. Overall, the Finnish real estate market seems to be entering an interesting period that may provide new opportunities.

Regional peculiarities of the real estate market

Although analysts' forecasts cover the entire territory of Finland, it is important to understand that the real estate market situation can vary significantly from region to region. Large cities such as Helsinki, Espoo, Vantaa and Tampere may show different trends than less densely populated areas.

  • Metropolitan region.
    The Helsinki region, which includes Finland's capital city and the immediate suburbs, is one of the most active and expensive real estate markets in the country. High demand due to the concentration of jobs, universities and cultural facilities often contributes to rising housing prices in this region. Despite the general trend of declining prices, things can unfold somewhat differently in the metropolitan area. High levels of economic activity and a steady influx of population can keep demand for housing, which can slow or even prevent price declines.
  • Regional centers.
    Other major cities in Finland, such as Tampere, Turku and Oulu, may also show different real estate market trends from the national ones. These regional centers often attract residents from surrounding areas, which creates a steady demand for housing. However, real estate prices in these cities tend to be lower than in the metropolitan area, which may make them more susceptible to declining home values. Nevertheless, market dynamics will depend on the specific economic conditions and demand factors in each city.
  • Rural areas.
    In rural areas of Finland, the real estate market situation can be quite different from urban areas. Lower incomes and lower population density may lead to lower demand for housing, which in turn may affect price trends. However, in some scenic rural areas popular with tourists and nature lovers, demand for real estate may remain stable or even increase. This can keep housing prices at a certain level or contribute to their growth.

Advice for buyers and sellers

Given the regional differences in the Finnish real estate market, buyers and sellers are advised to thoroughly research the situation in the specific region they are interested in. Analyzing local factors such as economic activity, demographic trends and the level of demand for housing can help make more informed decisions. Working with local real estate agents and experts can also be beneficial, as they have in-depth knowledge of the specifics of regional markets and can provide valuable advice. In addition, it is important to consider the long-term growth and development prospects of the region, as theseFactors affecting regional differences. Regional differences in the Finnish real estate market are caused by a number of factors that need to be taken into account when analyzing the situation in a particular region. Here are some of the most important factors:

  • Economic activity.
    The level of economic activity in a region plays a key role in shaping the demand for real estate. Regions with developed industry, a strong service sector and a high concentration of jobs tend to show higher demand for housing and therefore higher prices.
  • Demographic Trends.
    Demographic trends such as population migration, changes in age structure and household size also affect the real estate market. Regions with growing populations and high proportions of young people tend to have a stronger demand for housing.
  • Accessibility to transportation and infrastructure.
    Good transportation accessibility and developed infrastructure increase the attractiveness of a region to live in. Proximity to major cities, efficient public transportation systems and quality roads have a positive impact on demand for real estate.
  • Quality of life and environment.
    Quality of life factors such as green spaces, clean air, low crime rates and access to cultural and educational institutions also play a role in choosing where to live. Regions with a high quality of life tend to be more attractive to real estate buyers.
  • Tourist appeal.
    In some regions of Finland that are rich in natural beauty and tourist attractions, demand for real estate can be driven by interest from tourists and investors looking to purchase vacation or rental homes.
  • Regional policies and investment.
    Local and regional authorities may adopt policies to encourage the development of certain areas. Investment in infrastructure, job creation, and business support can make a region more attractive to real estate buyers. With these factors in mind, it is important to conduct a thorough analysis of a particular region before making a decision to buy or sell real estate. Working with local experts and real estate agents can help you gain a deeper understanding of regional market characteristics.
  • Long-term outlook for the region.
    In addition to the current real estate market situation, it is also important to consider the long-term outlook for the region. Regions with positive economic growth projections, improved infrastructure, and a higher quality of life can present attractive real estate investment opportunities. Regional development programs, plans to create new jobs, housing and commercial facilities.

Influence of government policy

Government policy also plays an important role in shaping Finland's regional real estate market. The government can use various instruments to stimulate the development of certain areas or to smooth out regional disparities.

  • Regional development programs.
    One of the key tools is the implementation of regional development programs. These programs are aimed at creating favorable conditions for economic growth and improving the quality of life in different regions of the country. Investments in infrastructure, support for small and medium-sized businesses, development of education and healthcare — all this can help to make a region more attractive for living and doing business. In turn, this stimulates demand for real estate and contributes to price growth.
  • Tax incentives and subsidies.
    The government can also use tax breaks and subsidies to incentivize development in certain regions. For example, reducing property taxes or providing favorable mortgage rates for homebuyers in certain areas can increase demand in the local real estate market. In addition, subsidies and grants provided to businesses to start new businesses or expand existing businesses in specific regions can help create new jobs and therefore increase demand for housing.
  • Building and Planning Policies.
    Government construction and planning policies also have a significant impact on regional real estate markets. The government can regulate land development, set quality requirements for housing and infrastructure, and designate zones for residential and commercial development. For example, the construction of new residential areas or major infrastructure projects (such as roads, hospitals, or schools) in a particular region can significantly increase its attractiveness to real estate buyers, which in turn leads to higher housing prices.
  • Environmental policy.
    Environmental policies have also influenced the real estate market in recent years. Environmental protection measures such as limiting emissions, developing renewable energy sources and green building can increase the attractiveness of certain regions to live in. Regions that actively implement environmental initiatives and strive for sustainable development may become more attractive to buyers who value a healthy environment and a high quality of life.

Thus, government policy plays an important role in shaping regional real estate markets in Finland. Taking into account government initiatives and regional development programs can help potential buyers and investors make more informed decisions when choosing where to buy a home or invest.

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