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Foreign real estate and sanctions - what's important to know

22.02.2025

Foreign real estate in the era of sanctions and economic instability

Foreign real estate in the era of sanctions and economic instability

Investments in foreign real estate have always been an attractive tool for preserving and multiplying capital. However, in recent years this market has faced serious challenges related to geopolitical tensions, international sanctions and general economic instability in many regions of the world.

These factors create new risks for investors, but also open up new opportunities. To successfully navigate the rapidly changing environment, you need to have a good understanding of current market trends and be able to adapt your investment strategies. Let's take a closer look at how sanctions and economic instability affect the foreign real estate market and what steps investors can take to minimize risks and maximize profits.

Impact of sanctions restrictions on the real estate market

International sanctions have become a major factor affecting the global real estate market. Restrictive measures imposed on certain countries, companies and individuals have a direct impact on opportunities to invest and transact in foreign assets.

  1. One of the key consequences of sanctions is that they make it more difficult or impossible for investors from restricted countries to conduct real estate transactions. Sanctions often involve a ban on financial transactions and an asset freeze, making it impossible to purchase or sell foreign real estate directly. Even if transactions are not formally prohibited, sanctions seriously complicate the process of conducting them. Banks and other financial institutions are forced to scrutinize all transactions for compliance with sanctions regimes, which slows down and makes it more expensive to transfer funds. In some cases, Western banks may refuse to conduct transactions related to sub-sanctioned countries for fear of secondary restrictions and fines.
  2. Sanctions not only create technical difficulties for transactions, but also reduce the overall investment attractiveness of the countries and regions against which they are directed. Foreign investors are less willing to consider investment opportunities in markets where there is a high risk of increased sanctions and further deterioration of the economic and political situation. In addition, the sanctioned countries themselves may introduce retaliatory measures and restrictions, for example, on withdrawal of capital or ownership of real estate by foreigners. This further increases risks and uncertainty for investors.

As a result, real estate markets in countries under severe sanctions pressure are typically characterized by reduced liquidity, lower transaction volumes and a general cooling of investment activity.

Impact of economic instability on the real estate market

In addition to sanctions, the attractiveness of foreign real estate is significantly influenced by the general economic situation and stability in the countries and regions of investment. Economic crises, high inflation, currency fluctuations — all these factors directly affect the real estate market.

  1. One of the main risks for investors in foreign real estate are currency fluctuations. The volatility of the national currency of the country where the asset is purchased can significantly affect its real value and profitability for the investor. For example, if the currency of the country of investment weakens in relation to the currency in which the investor receives his main income, then both the value of the real estate and the amount of rental payments in terms of the “home” currency will decline. This is especially true for emerging markets, whose national currencies are subject to greater fluctuations. On the other hand, the purchase of real estate in a currency other than the currency of the investor's home country can serve as a tool for hedging currency risks and diversifying the investment portfolio.
  2. Economic instability and crisis phenomena directly affect the profitability of real estate investments. Decreased business activity, rising unemployment and falling household incomes usually lead to lower demand for residential and commercial real estate, which in turn leads to falling prices and rental rates.
  3. At the same time, periods of economic instability can also create windows of opportunity for investors. Acquisition of quality assets at reduced prices during the crisis can provide high returns in the long term, subject to subsequent market recovery. However, such investments require careful analysis and a selective approach, as not all markets and real estate assets weather crisis periods equally well and have the same recovery potential.

Economic difficulties often force governments to take measures that directly affect the real estate market. These may include changes in tax legislation, tougher requirements for investors, restrictions on the purchase of real estate by foreigners or on the withdrawal of investment income abroad. All these measures can significantly change the rules of the game in the market and affect the profitability and liquidity of investments. Therefore, it is important for investors to closely monitor changes in regulation and quickly adapt their strategies.

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Promising investment areas and strategies

Despite all the challenges and risks associated with sanctions and economic instability, the foreign real estate market still offers many attractive opportunities for investors. The key to success is to choose the right investment areas and adapt strategies to changing conditions.

  1. With geopolitical tensions and economic instability, many investors are paying closer attention to emerging markets. Southeast Asia, some Latin American countries and the Middle East can offer an attractive combination of relatively low real estate prices, high growth potential and lower risks of serious international sanctions. Of course, investing in emerging markets carries its own risks associated with less political and economic stability, weak legal institutions and higher volatility of national currencies. Therefore, careful analysis and selection of reliable local partners is particularly important here.
  2. Another important principle in conditions of increased uncertainty is the diversification of the investment portfolio. Allocation of investments between different countries and regions, types of real estate and investment instruments helps to reduce risks and increase the portfolio's resilience to external shocks. For example, a mix of investments in residential and commercial real estate, in assets that generate stable rental income and value-oriented growth properties, in developed and emerging markets can provide a more balanced risk-return profile.
  3. In addition to direct real estate investments, there are other ways to gain exposure to this market, which can be particularly relevant in times of sanctions and instability. These include, for example, investing through closed-end real estate mutual funds, purchasing shares in companies and funds specializing in real estate management, or participating in crowdfunding platforms. Such instruments allow investing in foreign real estate indirectly, without direct ownership and the need to conduct transactions and manage assets independently. This can be a convenient alternative for investors from countries that are under sanctions or have restrictions on capital withdrawal.

In conclusion, we note that the foreign real estate market is going through difficult times due to geopolitical tensions, international sanctions and economic instability in many countries. These factors create new risks and challenges for investors, but at the same time open up new opportunities. To successfully navigate the changing environment, investors need to:

  1. Carefully monitor the geopolitical and economic situation, changes in sanctions regimes and regulation of real estate markets in the countries of investment.
  2. Adapt their investment strategies by focusing on the most promising and sustainable real estate markets and segments.
  3. Diversify their portfolios by spreading risk across different countries, asset types and investment vehicles.
  4. Consider alternative ways of investing in overseas real estate, such as real estate funds or crowdfunding platforms, which may be more convenient and flexible in the face of sanctions and restrictions.

With the right approach, investing in foreign real estate can still provide attractive opportunities for capital preservation and multiplication even in the current challenging environment. The main thing is constant monitoring of the situation, in-depth analysis of the markets and timely adaptation of strategies.

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